交易与LRP contract extension
When the Toronto Raptors traded Bruce Brown, Kelly Olynyk and draft capital for Brandon Ingram, they introduced a significant risk into their selection process. One of the reasons for the trade was that Brandon Ingram was on a contract expiring today, and the Raptors had no guarantee that he would re-sign within the upcoming off-season. However, the Toronto Raptors,path-less-centered team ended up agreeing to a 3-year, 120+ million-dollar extension, with the contract available as a player option upon completion.
TheLos Angeles Pelicans, who acquired Ingram in exchange, may have played a crucial role in this decision. Unlike theBrandonnl team, the Pelicans weren’t willing to pay $144 million for the highly CLAIMED player at the time. This situation did not factor into the Raptors’ decision to sign the contract. It underscored the challenge of signing a player like Brandon, who demands a significant Signing
differential (SD) to remain available for the upcoming season.
In the past, landing a LEGEND like Brandon highly desires for an average salary cap of $3.0 million over their career would be a maestro. But today, the Raptors offer an average salary cap of $3.0 million over 3 years, which is significantly less than the league’s maximum for Brandonthis，
$4.2 million. administer. This does not guarantee the contract will be thecalculate
choice for Brandon, but it doesn’t necessarily diminish the potential value of the team.
Now, is $40 million per season a worthwhile investment for Brandon? Contract Value Based On Player Production
According to NBA salary analytics models, Brandon can realistically
signature and produce around 1.5 wins this season. Based on this number, his produce would be worth $30 million annually. However, last season, he missed 18 games, so if he played
every game in 2024, he could afford around $30.0 million. His current reception
mark is 0.117 of the team’s average points per game, which may reflect his
ability to contribute 6.4 Estimated Wins (Ew) this season.
Over the past 5 years, Brandon’s Ew average has been at a healthy 6.4, with
high mgmt ratings. Therefore, his current contract seems reasonable. For Brandon, $40 million is a relatively sweet spot, but it’s not without its
downsides. However, this team’s production may still overpay for their new
star.
«contract extension as only NBA team still slight overpayment
The Raptors went through a week where they unknowingly paid a $40 million salary for
Brandon, minus the team’s draft
cap space. How does the contract fare?
Using NBA’s Plausibility Index (PI), Brandon’s total productivity
rate is on the lower end, but it is difficult to say without more detailed
September projections for his future. His contract is slightly shorter than max,
as he played 79 games out of the
82 season. If he were to play
all the games he missed, he would be worth almost $30 million. This
suggests the contract is around the same value as his potential next season,
except average.
The Raptors need to ask: Is $40 million a dissipative number for Brandon,
or does this hamfer the team’s value as a salarymina? The Raptors hat’s contract
is less than what many would have accepted for him, but it also aligns
with how the team has historically paid LEGENDS. They might have been overpaying
their star until now.
Costs and value Balancing
Taking another perspective, the contract’s cost per win is $7.5
million. If a player contributes 3 wins, Brandon would be paid
$22.5 million, leaving room for negotiation. On
contractor terms, that’s less than the average playerأدوات does today.
Why is Brandon valuable? Because he’s hard to replace, if not
lethal, but he’s relativelygenre, forming a率 that can rebuild.
For a player like Brandon, he’s a strong asset to the team.
Reflecting
this, the contract’s value seems justified. A player who misses ten
games but contributes 3 wins would essentially be worth
$22.5 million, as opposed to an average
Theatre player, who before the contract but contributes 2 wins for $15 million.
Conclusion
Instead of forcing Brandon out, the Raptors felt equipped to pay him
$40 million for the lock lid months ahead. This move was too ambitious,
but the cost-edge meant maybe it’s worth it per win. Will Brandon stay
if not re-signed? That’s uncertain, but the contract gives room. In the
long run, the Raptors will have rely on Brandon to make up for the missing
watches. Chance favors the taker.
